AGP Executive Report

US-Iran Peace MoU: Pakistan says the US and Iran agreed to an “immediate and permanent” end to military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, with a signing set for June 19 in Switzerland; Trump says he’s authorizing the removal of the US naval blockade and the Strait of Hormuz reopening “as soon as” the deal is signed, while Iran says a 60-day track will follow on sanctions and nuclear issues. Beirut Strike Fallout: Hours before the announcement, Israel hit Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiyeh/Ghobeiry), killing three and wounding 15, as Iran condemned the attack and warned the US and Israel would bear responsibility. Trump Urges Restraint: Trump publicly told Israel and Hezbollah to “stand down,” saying the Beirut strike “should not have happened” and warning it could derail the emerging regional peace. Southern Lebanon Still Under Fire: Separate reports say Israeli strikes continued across the south, including a drone strike on an orchard in Al-Housh that killed two, as Hezbollah claimed ongoing attacks on Israeli positions and vehicles. UN and Rights Pressure: UN Secretary-General Guterres condemned the Beirut strikes, while Lebanon also faces renewed scrutiny over whether Israel will halt operations despite being included in the MoU.

Beirut Under Fire: Israel struck Beirut’s southern suburbs, Dahiyeh/Ghobeiry, killing at least three and injuring six, as Trump said the attack “should not have happened” while urging all sides to stand down ahead of a US-Iran peace deal. US-Iran Deal in Jeopardy: Iran’s negotiators questioned Washington’s commitment after the Beirut strike, warning that continued attacks make progress impossible, while US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said a signing is “a matter of when.” Humanitarian Toll: Lebanon’s Health Ministry put deaths from the Israeli campaign since March 2 at 3,783 with 11,699 injured, and WHO reported 17 hospitals damaged and 135 healthcare workers killed or hurt during the escalation. Southern Lebanon Strikes: Two martyrs and several injured were reported in airstrikes across Al-Musaylih, Al-Ghubayri, Al-Housh, and Deir Qanoun Al-Nahr, with continued evacuation and ceasefire-violation claims. UN/Legal Pressure: Lebanon filed UN complaints alleging Israeli herbicide spraying and a deadly strike on a Lebanese army vehicle, as diplomacy races to keep the Lebanon track from derailing wider talks. Security Developments: The IDF said it killed senior Hezbollah commander Ali Musa Daqduq south of the Litani.

Southern Lebanon Under Strikes: Israel carried out new air raids after issuing evacuation warnings for Nabatieh and more than 20 other locations, with Lebanon’s state media reporting deaths in areas including Marrakeh (Tyre), Rihan (Jezzine), Deir al Zahrani and Kafr Reman (Nabatieh). War Death Toll Update: Lebanon’s Health Ministry put the death toll from strikes since March 2 at 3,756, with 11,632 wounded. IDF Operations in the South: Israel said it killed 30+ Hezbollah fighters in south Lebanon clashes and struck dozens of Hezbollah targets, including infrastructure tied to tunnel routes near Beaufort Ridge. Evacuation Pressure: The Israeli army urged residents to move north of the Zahrani River ahead of raids, leaving Nabatieh “almost deserted” amid shelling. Lebanon’s Politics vs Iran: PM Nawaf Salam urged Hezbollah to prioritize Lebanon’s interests over Iran and back the government’s US-mediated negotiation track with Israel. Regional Diplomacy Noise: As Trump and Pakistan said a US-Iran framework deal could be signed Sunday, Iran pushed back on timing and linked any Lebanon truce to Israeli withdrawal from Hezbollah fronts. Syria Denial: Syrian President al-Sharaa denied reports that Syria plans to intervene militarily in Lebanon.

Evacuation Orders in the South: Israel issued fresh evacuation warnings for at least 20 locations in southern Lebanon, including Nabatieh and nearby villages such as Rihan and Sujud, urging residents to move north of the Zahrani River; Lebanese state media reported strikes hitting areas covered by the warnings, including a deadly strike in Rihan and shelling that left Nabatieh “almost deserted.” Airstrikes and Drone Claims: Fighting continued despite ceasefire talk, with reports of Israeli airstrikes across the south and Hezbollah claiming drone attacks on Israeli vehicles near Kafr Tibnit and rocket fire near Majdalzoun; Israel also confirmed a drone crash in the same theater. US-Iran Deal Pressure on Lebanon: Diplomatic reporting says Lebanon is being pulled into the orbit of a near-final US-Iran memorandum, with US officials saying it “includes Lebanon,” while Lebanon’s diplomats insist negotiations must stay on an official, state-only track; Hezbollah figures warn the emerging deal could force Lebanon to rethink talks with Israel. Human Toll and Health Strain: Lebanon’s health ministry said Israeli attacks since March 2 have killed 3,756 people, with additional reports of 850 deaths in two weeks and severe damage to southern healthcare capacity. Vatican Aid Blocked: A Vatican envoy’s aid convoy headed to Christian villages in southern Lebanon was stopped by Israeli forces and rerouted after hours-long delays.

South Lebanon Front: Hezbollah says it confronted Israeli troops advancing toward Majdal Zoun, after rocket barrages forced them to retreat, while Israel issued evacuation warnings for three villages and continued strikes across the south. Resistance Operations: The Islamic Resistance reported drone and artillery attacks on Israeli tanks, vehicles, and positions in Tel al-Hamamis, Mazraat Sardah, Yohmor al-Shaqif, Naqoura, and Aitaroun, citing ceasefire violations. Humanitarian Pressure: UN officials warned that hostilities are hitting healthcare access, with a strike near Hiram Hospital injuring 10 staff and damaging buildings; WHO says 17 hospitals have been damaged since March 2. UN Security Council: The council condemned the killing of a Serbian UNIFIL peacekeeper and urged accountability, while reaffirming support for UNIFIL and Lebanon’s sovereignty. Iran-US Lebanon Truce Talks: Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi said an Iran-US MoU would include an end to hostilities “including Lebanon,” while Israel’s Katz insisted Israel will not withdraw from “security zones.” Diplomacy Shockwave: A senior US official said the emerging Iran deal includes Lebanon, Gulf states, and Israel. Gulf Economy: Saudi Arabia lifted its five-year ban on Lebanese imports, a thaw that could ease pressure on Lebanon’s economy. Local Life: Vatican-coordinated aid to southern Christian villages was reportedly stopped by Israeli forces near Debl, forcing a route change.

Israel-Lebanon Escalation: Israel renewed strikes across southern Lebanon, issuing urgent evacuation warnings for Sarafand, Tefahta and Mazraat Sinai, while air raids hit areas including Tyre district towns like al-Bayyad and Jibchit and artillery shelled nearby outskirts. Hezbollah Operations: Hezbollah said it targeted Israeli troops, vehicles and drones in multiple southern locations overnight, as fighting continued despite ceasefire attempts. Ceasefire Diplomacy (US-Iran): Lebanon is reportedly included in a US-Iran deal, with Trump pushing for a total halt to hostilities in Lebanon plus withdrawal, demolitions stop and prisoner releases; Iranian media claims a draft would end fighting in Lebanon and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while Iran’s top officials say an agreement is “never closer.” Lebanon’s Response to Iran: Prime Minister Nawaf Salam accused Tehran of using Lebanon as leverage, saying Iran rejected the ceasefire to prove it controls decisions in Hezbollah. Syria Factor: Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa dismissed rumors of Syrian military intervention in Lebanon, saying Syria’s goal is ending the war and protecting the return mechanism for about 1.4 million refugees. Humanitarian/Health: Tyre’s hospitals keep taking hits—AFP reports 10 staff wounded at Hiram hospital, with all three city hospitals damaged since March. Trade & Economy: Saudi Arabia lifted a five-year ban on Lebanese exports, reopening a key route for fruits and vegetables after tighter inspections. Tech & Security: Meta says NSO Group targeted WhatsApp users in Jordan and Lebanon via malicious links despite a US court order barring such activity.

War Update: Lebanon’s Health Ministry says the death toll from Israeli aggression has reached 3,711 martyrs and 11,483 wounded since March 2, with 15 more deaths and 70 more injuries reported in the past day; attacks also hit medical teams, with 132 healthcare workers among the dead. Southern Lebanon Fighting: Hezbollah says it targeted Israeli drones, troops, and vehicles across the south, including strikes on a Merkava tank and gatherings near Tayr Harfa and Qantara, while Israel reports deeper ground moves and “operational control” north of the Wadi Saluki. Tyre Under Strain: A strike near Hiram hospital in Tyre wounded 10 staff, and Reuters reports Christians in Tyre’s historic quarter are again fleeing after evacuation warnings. Diplomacy Under Pressure: President Joseph Aoun says Lebanon will keep negotiating directly with Israel despite pressure, while U.S.-mediated talks are set for June 22–24 in Washington, focusing first on the June 3 ceasefire framework and a “pilot zone.” State and Society: Education Minister Rima Karami says official exams are under review to ensure student safety. Regional Support: Saudi Arabia resumes Lebanese exports after Beirut met required standards, and Jordan sends a mobile bakery to produce up to 70,000 loaves daily. UN Scrutiny: The UN human rights office plans an investigative mission next week into alleged violations since March 2.

Tyre Exodus and State vs. Iran: Israel’s evacuation order for Tyre’s historic Christian quarter has triggered a second wave of displacement, with President Joseph Aoun insisting Lebanon will not withdraw from US-backed talks and rejecting any Iranian “dictates,” while warning Hezbollah must not keep the country on a war footing. Ceasefire Friction on the Ground: Despite April ceasefire language, Israeli strikes across south and east Lebanon killed dozens in the past days, with reports of new evacuation warnings and continued rocket/launch alerts near northern Israel. Diplomacy Under Pressure: Aoun reiterated conditions for any deal—Israeli withdrawal, halt to hostilities, Lebanese Army deployment, and return of detainees and displaced—while UN efforts continue to probe alleged violations. Gulf Thaw for Lebanon’s Economy: Saudi Arabia lifted a five-year ban on Lebanese imports, signaling improved Gulf-Lebanon ties and a potential boost for exporters. Humanitarian Routes and Aid: Jordan sent a mobile bakery to Lebanon via the Jaber crossing, and Armenia will temporarily reopen the Margara border crossing (June 12–22) to move humanitarian cargo through Turkey. Regional Escalation Spillover: The broader Iran-US standoff intensified with new strikes and warnings, keeping Lebanon at the center of regional leverage.

Southern Lebanon Toll: Israeli airstrikes and drone attacks killed at least 13 people in the south, with the deadliest hit reported in Tayr Debba near Tyre (nine dead, seven injured), as fighting with Hezbollah continued and more strikes were reported across Tyre and nearby areas. Evacuation Warnings: Israel issued new displacement orders for parts of Tyre and surrounding villages, while Lebanese and international observers warned civilians may not have safe routes or enough time to leave. UN Rights Probe: UN human rights chief Volker Turk said a mission will deploy to Lebanon to collect information on alleged abuses since March 2, as UN chief Guterres urged continued UN “uniformed presence” after UNIFIL’s departure. Regional Pressure: Turkish President Erdogan said Israel’s attacks on Lebanon and Syria now threaten Türkiye, and called for action to stop the aggression. Lebanon State Authority: President Aoun and FM Rajji reiterated that security must be under state authority and urged extending Lebanese Army control in the south. Diplomacy & Gulf Ties: Saudi Arabia ended a five-year ban on Lebanese imports, signaling a thaw in Gulf-Lebanon relations.

Israel-Lebanon Front: Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon killed at least 13 people on Wednesday, with heavy hits reported around Tyre and nearby villages as Israel pressed its campaign against Hezbollah and Hezbollah claimed attacks on Israeli forces. Diplomatic Pressure: UN human rights chief Volker Türk said a team of experts will be sent to Lebanon next week to assess possible violations of international law by all parties. Political Clash: Israeli President Isaac Herzog urged Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun to reject Hezbollah and Iran’s influence, while Aoun has accused Iran of using Lebanon as a bargaining chip. Regional Fallout: Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan escalated criticism, saying Israel’s aggression in Syria and Lebanon now threatens Turkey too, and Erdoğan and Netanyahu traded sharp accusations. Humanitarian Strain: Displaced families in southern Lebanon are facing worsening conditions as shelters near capacity, with many pushed into unsafe makeshift living. Accident Report: A Lebanon woman died from electrocution at a car wash, according to local police.

Tyre Evacuation Escalates: Israel struck Tyre and then ordered the entire city to evacuate, including the Christian quarter, as at least eight were killed and dozens injured; UN officials warn the humanitarian situation is deteriorating and that nearly 44,000 people are affected by the order. Beirut Strike Rules of Engagement: Israeli ministers authorized strikes on Beirut’s Dahiyeh in response to rocket fire crossing into Israel, tightening the response framework even as diplomacy continues. Ceasefire Strains, Death Toll Rises: Lebanon’s health ministry says the toll from Israeli aggression has reached 3,666 killed and 11,321 injured, with UN OCHA highlighting worsening conditions and access risks. Iran–Israel Tensions Spill Over: Iran and Israel paused direct exchanges after missile fire, but analysts say Lebanon is still being used to test deterrence and negotiating leverage. Diplomacy Over “Pilot Zones”: US Ambassador Michel Issa says Washington will submit a written proposal to Speaker Nabih Berri on pilot zones for Lebanese Army deployment and staged returns, while Hezbollah and Berri reject the framework. Lebanon State Authority Push: President Joseph Aoun says Israel’s pullout would let the state extend authority and pursue disarmament of Hezbollah through a political and security approach. Local Projects: MP Sagih Atieh says Qlayaat Airport’s planned operation could benefit all Lebanon economically and logistically, including cargo and energy-related infrastructure.

Tyre Under Evacuation: Israeli airstrikes hit Tyre in southern Lebanon, killing at least eight and injuring dozens as the army ordered the entire city—including the Christian quarter—to evacuate, triggering mass flight and rescue operations amid fears of more casualties. Humanitarian Pressure: Lebanon’s displacement crisis deepened as residents streamed north and shelters filled, while reports also pointed to strikes damaging key sites and hitting medics and civilians. Iran-Israel Escalation Watch: Iran said it ended ballistic-missile attacks on Israel, but warned the “new normal” of tit-for-tat could return if Israel keeps striking Lebanon; analysts warn Hezbollah may feel emboldened while Lebanon remains the bargaining chip. Politics and Diplomacy: Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun reiterated that disarming Hezbollah needs a comprehensive approach and state authority, while Macron reaffirmed France’s support for Lebanon. Regional Mediation: Pakistani and Lebanese army chiefs met in Pakistan to boost defense cooperation as mediation efforts continue amid the wider Iran-Israel conflict. Local Governance: Lebanon’s council approved the 2026-27 budget, as the war’s strain continues to collide with domestic administration.

Southern Lebanon Toll: Lebanon’s health ministry says Israeli strikes killed at least 14 people in Tyre and nearby areas, including four Red Cross paramedics, as attacks continued despite Iran’s warnings. Ceasefire Friction: UN officials questioned whether Israel’s forced evacuation orders in the south are legal and safe, while Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun said he won’t meet Netanyahu until a war-ending agreement is reached. Diplomacy vs. Fire: Iran and Israel announced a pause in direct attacks after missile exchanges, but Israel vowed to keep operating against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Heritage Under Fire: Lebanon’s culture officials say bombardment damaged UNESCO World Heritage ruins in Tyre, adding to fears of irreversible damage. Regional Stakes: Oil prices jumped on renewed Iran-Israel fighting, with traders watching for any disruption to key shipping routes. Hardline Politics: Israel’s Ben-Gvir floated arresting family members of Hezbollah operatives, as officials discussed expanding operations and defense budgets.

Ceasefire Pressure, Lebanon Still in the Crosshairs: Iran and Israel said they halted strikes after Trump urged both sides to stop “shooting,” but Tehran warned it will resume if Israel keeps hitting Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, while Israel signaled it will pause Iran attacks yet continue “full force” in Lebanon. Escalation Metrics: Lebanon’s PM said Israel carried out nearly 3,500 attacks during the April ceasefire, with Lebanon’s defense minister citing 3,491 air raids from April 17 to June 7 and reporting thousands killed and injured. Beirut and South Lebanon Strikes: Lebanese health officials reported 3,558 killed since March 2, and separate reports said Israeli raids hit Beirut suburbs and Tyre, with Hezbollah firing rockets at IDF posts and projectiles intercepted near the border. Cultural Damage in Tyre: Lebanon’s culture ministry condemned Israeli bombardment that damaged UNESCO World Heritage ruins in Tyre. Economy Under Strain: Finance Minister Yassine Jaber warned the economy could shrink 7–10% in 2026 if conflict persists, citing displacement of over a million and damage to infrastructure and trade. Regional Stakes: Analysts and officials framed the flare-up as a threat to US-Iran talks, with Iran insisting Lebanon must be part of any ceasefire.

Iran–Israel Escalation Over Lebanon: Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel after an Israeli strike on Beirut’s southern suburbs, while Israel hit military targets inside Iran; the exchange shattered hopes of de-escalation as the wider war hit its 100th day. Beirut Strike and Human Toll: Lebanese officials reported deaths and dozens of injuries from Israeli airstrikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs, with rescue teams still working amid damage. Hezbollah and Southern Front: Israel said it struck Hezbollah-linked sites in Dahieh and continued operations in the south; Hezbollah and allied groups claimed drone and missile attacks on Israeli forces and equipment. IDF Claims Underground Network: Israel said it uncovered a large Hezbollah tunnel complex under Beaufort Castle, describing it as built for long-term operations. Ceasefire Talks Under Strain: The US said Lebanon-Israel talks would resume June 22 and urged Hezbollah to halt attacks, but Iran warned any Lebanon ceasefire breach could trigger wider retaliation. Markets and Regional Airspace: Oil prices jumped on renewed strikes, and multiple countries reported temporary airspace closures after the missile exchange.

UNIFIL & Accountability: EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas condemned the killing of another UNIFIL peacekeeper in Lebanon and renewed calls for full accountability, urging all parties to respect UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and Lebanon’s sovereignty. Beirut & Southern Strikes: Israel carried out airstrikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiyeh), targeting what it said were Hezbollah command centers, while Lebanon’s state media reported apartment hits and injuries. Ceasefire Under Strain: Despite a renewed U.S.-brokered ceasefire, Israel said it intercepted projectiles from Lebanon and warned residents in Tyre and surrounding areas to evacuate as strikes continued; Hezbollah has rejected the terms. Lebanon’s Human Toll: Lebanon’s Health Ministry reported rising deaths and injuries, including the killing of paramedics in Nabatieh, while UN and humanitarian appeals expanded amid displacement. Iran–Lebanon Political Spat: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun accused Iran of using Lebanon as a “bargaining chip,” and Iran’s Abbas Araghchi hit back, insisting any ceasefire must cover Lebanon too. Diplomacy Watch: Lebanon’s army chief Rodolphe Haykal is in Pakistan amid mediation efforts tied to U.S.-Iran talks, as regional powers press for de-escalation. Regional Condemnations: Saudi Arabia and the UAE condemned ongoing Israeli aggression and attacks on Lebanese sovereignty and armed forces.